Cardinal Energy Ltd. riding a lift off a rock hard bottom

Oct 26th, 2015 – 1 Comment

Small cap verses large cap – go with the large cap.

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Today I will inspect the charts for Cardinal Energy Ltd. (CJ TSX) which will conclude the assignment from Laurie who requested a comparison with Crescent Point Energy Ltd. (CPG TSX).  This will be the second time that I examine the charts for CJ. The last was on September 26,2014 when the shares were trading for $18.53 and the dividend was providing a yield of 4.53%.

Gord wanted some input about the dividend and the future for the stock. The research indicated that the dividend appeared to be  safe but the stock itself was facing a few technical challenges. The stock was pulling back from a 52-week high and had breached support along the uptrend line that had supported a sweet advance over close to nine months. The MACD and the RSI both generated sell signals at the top and it was advised that CJ needed to build support at $18.00 if there was any hope of a new leg up to emerge.

Unfortunately the stock could not hold support at $18.00 and hit a 52-week low of $8.43 by September of 2015.

Another audit of the charts will inform my evaluation and the comparison with Crescent Point Energy Inc. (CPG TSX)



The two- year chart indicates that CJ has suffered with the entire exploration and production sector as the price of oil has retreated. The pullback from the 52-week high in August of 2014  led to a bounce off of $11.00 in January of 2015 to resistance near $16.00 by April.

Worth noting are the sell signals generated by the MACD and the RSI concurrent with the April high.From there sellers took control of the market and pushed CJ to its 52-week low of $8.43.








The six-month chart highlights the lift off the September lows and the buy signals generated by the MACD and the RSI. The next level of resistance that needs to be overcome is at $11.50 and then at $12.00. Much like CPG this stock could enjoy a bit more of a gain during this period of seasonal strength that runs until early December. Watch for resistance along the 200-day moving average if we see a break above $12.00.

In a comparison I would have to say you might be best served with placing the majority of your investment in CPG based on market cap and average daily volume.

Next time I will investigate the case of Quattro Exploration and Production Ltd. (QXP TSXV) for Rob.


Make it a profitable day and happy capitalism!

Categories: Energy
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